Archives For OKC Dave

The best players by number in OSU history

OKC Dave —  March 6, 2014 — 36 Comments

Who gets 23? What about 33? The only easy one is 00…and 53.

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Marcus Smart is as efficient as ever

OKC Dave —  February 25, 2014 — 5 Comments

Not shooting well but making up for it in other areas.

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Marcus Smart’s place in Big 12 history

OKC Dave —  January 16, 2014 — 10 Comments

You’re not going to believe who his closest comp is.

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Markel Brown’s rapid ascent

OKC Dave —  December 26, 2013 — 6 Comments

Markel Brown is a star, but it wasn’t always that way.

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Tracking the Big 12′s contenders

OKC Dave —  December 17, 2013 — 2 Comments

Which team has been on top nearly all year? Which has ascended (rapidly?) Which is lower than you’d think?

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Ranking the best Bedlam teams

OKC Dave —  December 5, 2013 — 15 Comments

Since Mike Gundy took over.

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Oklahoma State playing like a No. 1 seed

OKC Dave —  November 26, 2013 — 6 Comments

Ken Pom says Oklahoma State might be the best team in the country (it’s early, we know).

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OSU’s basketball team returns pretty much everything

OKC Dave —  November 12, 2013 — 4 Comments

In the Sutton/Ford era no team has ever returned this many points.

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2013 OSU football is similar to Auburn, A&M

OKC Dave —  November 11, 2013 — 10 Comments

A history of OSU teams and which schools they compare to.

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A different way to look at the Big 12

OKC Dave —  October 18, 2013 — 7 Comments

Baylor stands alone but OSU isn’t in the worst shape so far.

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OSU has been the Big 12′s best program in the last four years

OKC Dave —  September 26, 2013 — Leave a comment

OKC Dave looks at the Big 12′s best programs over the last four years.

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JW Walsh has been historically good

OKC Dave —  September 12, 2013 — 9 Comments

How good has JW Walsh been? How about RG3 and Geno Smith good?

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Evaluating the schedules of OSU’s opponents

OKC Dave —  August 28, 2013 — 12 Comments

Which teams does OSU catch at the right time and which teams catch OSU at the right time?

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The great turnover effect

OKC Dave —  August 22, 2013 — 6 Comments

OKC Dave looks at what a return to grabbing turnovers can do for Oklahoma State.

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Basketball APR numbers aren’t any better than football

OKC Dave —  June 12, 2013 — Leave a comment

OKC Dave is back to look at how much OSU is struggling academically in basketball.

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Oklahoma State APR numbers are out and they aren’t pretty

OKC Dave —  June 11, 2013 — 8 Comments

Oklahoma State is struggling academically.

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Four year basketball rankings

OKC Dave —  April 22, 2013 — 2 Comments

 

Photo Attribution: USATSI

Photo Attribution: KT King

When the football season ended, we ranked every football program in the country using a four-year formula. Let’s do the same thing for hoops to see where our program stands.

Once again, I’m using the what-have-you-done-for-me-lately formula:

2013 season: 40% weighting
2012: 30%
2011: 20%
2010: 10%

I figure recruits tend to look at programs this way…everything beyond four years ago is a distant memory to an 18-year old.

I’ll use Pomeroy’s ratings.

First, let’s look at the top 20:

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OKC Dave analyzes each region

OKC Dave —  March 20, 2013 — 1 Comment

 

Photo Attribution: USATSI

Photo Attribution: USATSI

Let’s take a look at each region, starting with our own Midwest Region. I realize some of the team names run together, but I think you can make them out.

Screen Shot 2013-03-19 at 2.25.48 PM

Louisville leads the nation in defensive efficiency by a pretty solid margin, so it’s not surprising to see them all alone out there on the east side of the chart. Given that defense tends to win in the NCAA tournament, OSU would normally be well-positioned to make a run. But here’s the problem: while OSU is a very good defensive team, but so is Oregon. And Saint Louis. And Louisville. Seven teams in this region have a top 20 Pomeroy defense.

Screen Shot 2013-03-19 at 2.25.56 PM

In the South region, it’s Florida that stands out the most. Pomeroy has been high on them all year long (they are currently ranked 1st in his system). OU has a tough matchup against a solid defense in San Diego State. If you don’t like KU or Florida to get to Atlanta, pick Georgetown if you like defense or Michigan if you like offense.

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OKC Dave analyzes OSU and Oregon

OKC Dave —  March 19, 2013 — 2 Comments
Photo Attribution: USATSI

Photo Attribution: USATSI

When I completed the bracketology project here a few weeks ago, I promised I would come back with some analysis after the brackets were announced.

Here I am.

I’m bringing back the scatter plots that I used last time. You want to be in the far northeast corner of these charts…teams with good offense and defense reside in that corner. Defense is on the horizontal axis, offense is on the vertical axis. All of these stats are from kenpom.com.

In order to help you compare teams, every chart in this post aside from the last one uses the same scale: 80 to 112 on defense, 88 to 124 on offense.

First, let’s take a look at how Oregon stacks up against 12 seeds from previous years. I plotted every 12 seed from 2009 to 2013:

Screen Shot 2013-03-19 at 2.25.34 PM

Oregon is the green dot. Despite all the fuss about how Oregon was seeded incorrectly, they don’t look completely out of place on this chart. Notably, they have the best defense by a 12 seed in the last five years. But they are also 20 out of 22 teams in offensive efficiency among 12 seeds in this time period. They rank 10 out of 22 in Pomeroy rating in this group.

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Is Le’Bryan Nash a bad big-game player?

OKC Dave —  March 4, 2013 — 15 Comments
Photo Attribution: Emily Nielsen

Photo Attribution: Emily Nielsen

Kyle asked me to take a look at how Nash & Smart played in big games compared to games against weaker opponents. I decided to throw in Markel as well since he’s playing at an all-conference level this year.

I took a different approach this time around. I used Dean Oliver’s offensive rating, as calculated by Ken Pomeroy. Here’s how Pomeroy describes it on his site:

Offensive rating (ORtg): A measure of personal offensive efficiency developed by Dean Oliver. The formula is very complicated, but accurate. For a detailed explanation, buy Basketball on Paper.

Let’s just take his word for it. The only thing I don’t like about this stat is that it’s kind of hard to quickly determine what a good figure is without comparing it to other players (Smart has an offensive rating of 103.3. Out of context, it doesn’t mean a thing).

I didn’t want to simply find games where players were efficient, though…I wanted to find games where the players really showed up and played well. Here was my approach: I multiplied each players offensive rating times the % of possessions the player used in each game. The higher the result, the more positive an impact the player had in that game.

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