Who gets 23? What about 33? The only easy one is 00…and 53.Continue Reading...
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In the Sutton/Ford era no team has ever returned this many points.Continue Reading...
OKC Dave looks at the Big 12′s best programs over the last four years.Continue Reading...
OKC Dave is back to look at how much OSU is struggling academically in basketball.Continue Reading...
Oklahoma State is struggling academically.Continue Reading...
When the football season ended, we ranked every football program in the country using a four-year formula. Let’s do the same thing for hoops to see where our program stands.
Once again, I’m using the what-have-you-done-for-me-lately formula:
2013 season: 40% weighting
I figure recruits tend to look at programs this way…everything beyond four years ago is a distant memory to an 18-year old.
I’ll use Pomeroy’s ratings.
First, let’s look at the top 20:
Let’s take a look at each region, starting with our own Midwest Region. I realize some of the team names run together, but I think you can make them out.
Louisville leads the nation in defensive efficiency by a pretty solid margin, so it’s not surprising to see them all alone out there on the east side of the chart. Given that defense tends to win in the NCAA tournament, OSU would normally be well-positioned to make a run. But here’s the problem: while OSU is a very good defensive team, but so is Oregon. And Saint Louis. And Louisville. Seven teams in this region have a top 20 Pomeroy defense.
In the South region, it’s Florida that stands out the most. Pomeroy has been high on them all year long (they are currently ranked 1st in his system). OU has a tough matchup against a solid defense in San Diego State. If you don’t like KU or Florida to get to Atlanta, pick Georgetown if you like defense or Michigan if you like offense.
When I completed the bracketology project here a few weeks ago, I promised I would come back with some analysis after the brackets were announced.
Here I am.
I’m bringing back the scatter plots that I used last time. You want to be in the far northeast corner of these charts…teams with good offense and defense reside in that corner. Defense is on the horizontal axis, offense is on the vertical axis. All of these stats are from kenpom.com.
In order to help you compare teams, every chart in this post aside from the last one uses the same scale: 80 to 112 on defense, 88 to 124 on offense.
First, let’s take a look at how Oregon stacks up against 12 seeds from previous years. I plotted every 12 seed from 2009 to 2013:
Oregon is the green dot. Despite all the fuss about how Oregon was seeded incorrectly, they don’t look completely out of place on this chart. Notably, they have the best defense by a 12 seed in the last five years. But they are also 20 out of 22 teams in offensive efficiency among 12 seeds in this time period. They rank 10 out of 22 in Pomeroy rating in this group.
Kyle asked me to take a look at how Nash & Smart played in big games compared to games against weaker opponents. I decided to throw in Markel as well since he’s playing at an all-conference level this year.
I took a different approach this time around. I used Dean Oliver’s offensive rating, as calculated by Ken Pomeroy. Here’s how Pomeroy describes it on his site:
Offensive rating (ORtg): A measure of personal offensive efficiency developed by Dean Oliver. The formula is very complicated, but accurate. For a detailed explanation, buy Basketball on Paper.
Let’s just take his word for it. The only thing I don’t like about this stat is that it’s kind of hard to quickly determine what a good figure is without comparing it to other players (Smart has an offensive rating of 103.3. Out of context, it doesn’t mean a thing).
I didn’t want to simply find games where players were efficient, though…I wanted to find games where the players really showed up and played well. Here was my approach: I multiplied each players offensive rating times the % of possessions the player used in each game. The higher the result, the more positive an impact the player had in that game.