Photo Attribution: US Presswire
This is a good time to look at the remaining conference schedule. There are six teams still in the hunt for the conference title, and everyone has 10 games left. All six teams have five at home and five on the road.
Pomeroy publishes a percentage chance of winning each game. It changes every day when his system updates, but these are the current figures for each of the six teams (click on photo to enlarge):
If a team is expected to win, the game is highlighted in green. A predicted loss is highlighted in red. The only 50/50 game on this schedule is Kansas at OSU…I gave it to the Pokes since it’s at home.
Aside from Kansas, OSU has the highest percentage among the six teams at 74.3%.
Iowa State and Baylor both have four games remaining against the “bottom four” (West Virginia, Texas, Texas Tech, TCU). All of the other teams in the conference race have five games remaining against the bottom four.
If every game went according to Pomeroy’s prediction, the final standings among this group of six teams would be:
1) Kansas 16-2
2) Oklahoma State 14-4
3) Kansas State 13-5
4) Oklahoma 12-6
5) Iowa State 11-7
6) Baylor 11-7
Be still my heart…
My knees are going to be sore praying for more blessings for my alma mater. I would love to see this result come true. Maybe we would get a decent regional for the March Madness. Still I dont know if the team can do it or stand that much success. Hopefully it will be good me need a good year with a elite 8 or final 4 being a nice blessing for our prayers.
14-4 is a very optimistic scenario, obviously. A more realistic idea of a projected finish:
Kansas 15-3
OSU 12-6
K-State 12-6
Baylor 11-7
Iowa State 11-7
Oklahoma 11-7
The season-ending game against K-State at GIA is shaping up to be pretty big.
I don’t think that we will beat KU twice in the same season. That was an incredible win, that more than anything will probably wake them up.
OSU came up big on the road for the first time in a long time. I have confidence that we will handle TCU and TT easily on the road, but our struggles are still apparent and 1 game doesn’t change the larger sample. We need to follow that win up now with strong showings against Baylor and @Texas. No letdowns.
So anyone buying we have a 1% higher chance of winning at home vs. KU than we do of winning on the road at Iowa State? And speaking of at Iowa State…I was there in 2011 when we lost on that fateful Friday night. They immediately went into status of most hated team for me (T-Baylor) right behind OU obviously. Ames is like the Twilight Zone…that place sucks.
Not to burst anyone’s bubble. But until we can put a couple of wins on the road 14-4 is a pipe dream. Remember Ford is still the coach. I know we have the horses and I think we won in spite of the coach. I am pouring a big glass of ORANGE kool-aid but I don’t know if I am quite ready to drink it yet. I am cautiously optimistic.