Grantland posted the college football over/unders the other day, let’s take a gander at some Big 12 teams and where OSU fell.
First, a little context.
Line – The number of wins for a team. You can bet over or under this number.
-105 - You must bet $105 to win $100 plus your original bet of $105 for $205 total.
115 – You must bet $100 to win $115 plus your original bet of $100 for a $215 total.
EVEN – You must bet $100 to win $100 plus your original bet of $100 for a $200 total.
Basically the numbers with a – mean you must bet that much to win $100 and the numbers with a + mean you must bet $100 to win that much.
8.5 is absolutely the right number for this OSU team. With an unknown commodity at the most important position, Vegas is probably losing its mind about where to set this but they did a good job.
The fact that the over is a better deal (bet $100 to win $100 vs. betting $120 to win $100 on the under) means that Vegas thinks people are going to go under on this squad. With my life on the line I probably would go under1 but that doesn’t mean I’m not still picking us to win nine games!
As for the other Big 12 teams…
That OU number is absurd but it’s going to get bet because, well, because people like this actually exist.
The Texas number seems about right and I will take all the overs all the time on Iowa State at 4.5. ALL OF THEM.
- Basically betting that Lunt acts like a freshman at QB instead of a sophomore or junior. ↩